The NFL playoffs have reached the conference championship round, with just four teams remaining in the hunt for the Super Bowl. This Sunday will determine which two powerhouses advance to the big game, as the AFC and NFC crown their champions after hard-fought divisional playoff battles.

In the AFC, Patrick Mahomes led the Kansas City Chiefs into Buffalo and orchestrated a shocking upset of the favored Bills to advance to an incredible sixth straight conference championship game. There they’ll face Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, the AFC’s #1 seed who enjoyed a first-round bye. The Ravens are currently 3.5-point favorites as they host the Chiefs at M&T Bank Stadium.

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As for the Ravens-Chiefs showdown itself, Baltimore has been one of the NFL’s best teams against the spread this season. Their 12-6 ATS record equates to a sterling 66.7% cover rate, second only to the Lions. The Ravens also boast a 6-4 ATS record at home, while Kansas City has been strong on the road with a 5-3-1 ATS mark away from Arrowhead Stadium. So the oddsmakers’ early lean toward Baltimore is justified.

In the NFC, the #1 seed San Francisco 49ers survived a narrow win over the Packers to advance and host the surging Detroit Lions. The 49ers are currently pegged as 7-point favorites in the early line. However, questions surround receiver Deebo Samuel’s health after he exited last week’s game with an injury. His status could certainly impact the spread as the game draws closer.

This game will be the Lions’ first road test of the playoffs after two home wins got them this far. But Detroit has been sensational against the spread all season, boasting a conference-best 13-6 ATS record. That astonishing 68.4% cover rate leads all NFL teams. The Lions are also an impressive 7-2 ATS away from Ford Field.

Meanwhile, the Niners have struggled against the number at home, with a 3-6 ATS record in Santa Clara. So while the Lions are clearly underdogs, they have performed well as road dogs all season. Their offensive explosiveness coupled with defensive stars like Aidan Hutchinson make Dan Campbell’s squad dangerous.

The total is set at over 50 points for this NFC Championship game. Detroit games have been high-scoring affairs all year, with a 12-7 record favoring the Over. San Francisco has a balanced 5-4 record for Overs and Unders at home. So the oddsmakers foresee this being a relatively high-scoring conference title tilt to decide who punches their ticket to Arizona for Super Bowl LVIII.

✅ Fact Checked on January 28, 2024 by Ken Weaver